NFL Week Forecast: 2011 Week 4 Picks & Predictions

Progressive Score = 49/64 (76%) | Mean Error = 9.20 | Median Error = 7 Odds

Buffalo at Cincinnati

ProbabilityCincinnati 52.8% Buffalo 47.2%
Fair OddsCincinnati $1.89 Buffalo $2.12
Forecast
Cincinnati by 1 pointtick
ResultCincinnati by 3 points

Tennessee at Cleveland

ProbabilityCleveland 50.4% Tennessee 49.6%
Fair OddsCleveland $1.98 Tennessee $2.02
Forecast
Cleveland by 1 pointcross
ResultTennessee by 18 points

Pittsburgh at Houston

ProbabilityHouston 59.5% Pittsburgh 40.5%
Fair OddsHouston $1.68 Pittsburgh $2.47
Forecast
Houston by 4 pointstick
ResultHouston by 7 points

Detroit at Dallas

ProbabilityDallas 46.4% Detroit 53.6%
Fair OddsDallas $2.15 Detroit $1.87
Forecast
Detroit by 1 pointtick
ResultDetroit by 4 points

San Francisco at Philadelphia

ProbabilityPhiladelphia 60.3% San Francisco 39.7%
Fair OddsPhiladelphia $1.66 San Francisco $2.52
Forecast
Philadelphia by 4 pointscross
ResultSan Francisco by 1 point

Carolina at Chicago

ProbabilityChicago 77.6% Carolina 22.4%
Fair OddsChicago $1.29 Carolina $4.47
Forecast
Chicago by 11 pointstick
ResultChicago by 5 points

Washington at LA Rams

ProbabilityLA Rams 39.0% Washington 61.0%
Fair OddsLA Rams $2.57 Washington $1.64
Forecast
Washington by 4 pointstick
ResultWashington by 7 points

New Orleans at Jacksonville

ProbabilityJacksonville 35.9% New Orleans 64.1%
Fair OddsJacksonville $2.78 New Orleans $1.56
Forecast
New Orleans by 5 pointstick
ResultNew Orleans by 13 points

Minnesota at Kansas City

ProbabilityKansas City 40.1% Minnesota 59.9%
Fair OddsKansas City $2.49 Minnesota $1.67
Forecast
Minnesota by 4 pointscross
ResultKansas City by 5 points

NY Giants at Arizona

ProbabilityArizona 39.4% NY Giants 60.6%
Fair OddsArizona $2.54 NY Giants $1.65
Forecast
NY Giants by 4 pointstick
ResultNY Giants by 4 points

Atlanta at Seattle

ProbabilitySeattle 42.1% Atlanta 57.9%
Fair OddsSeattle $2.38 Atlanta $1.73
Forecast
Atlanta by 3 pointstick
ResultAtlanta by 2 points

Denver at Green Bay

ProbabilityGreen Bay 86.2% Denver 13.8%
Fair OddsGreen Bay $1.16 Denver $7.25
Forecast
Green Bay by 16 pointstick
ResultGreen Bay by 26 points

New England at Las Vegas

ProbabilityLas Vegas 46.4% New England 53.6%
Fair OddsLas Vegas $2.15 New England $1.87
Forecast
New England by 1 pointtick
ResultNew England by 12 points

Miami at LA Chargers

ProbabilityLA Chargers 70.5% Miami 29.5%
Fair OddsLA Chargers $1.42 Miami $3.39
Forecast
LA Chargers by 8 pointstick
ResultLA Chargers by 10 points

NY Jets at Baltimore

ProbabilityBaltimore 69.1% NY Jets 30.9%
Fair OddsBaltimore $1.45 NY Jets $3.24
Forecast
Baltimore by 7 pointstick
ResultBaltimore by 17 points

Indianapolis at Tampa Bay

ProbabilityTampa Bay 73.2% Indianapolis 26.8%
Fair OddsTampa Bay $1.37 Indianapolis $3.74
Forecast
Tampa Bay by 9 pointstick
ResultTampa Bay by 7 points

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