NFL Week Forecast: 2023 Week 1 Picks & Predictions

Progressive Score = 9/16 (56%) | Mean Error = 11.31 | Median Error = 8 Odds

Detroit at Kansas City

ProbabilityKansas City 70.5% Detroit 29.5%
Fair OddsKansas City $1.42 Detroit $3.39
Forecast
Kansas City by 7 pointscross
ResultDetroit by 1 point

Carolina at Atlanta

ProbabilityAtlanta 49.2% Carolina 50.8%
Fair OddsAtlanta $2.03 Carolina $1.97
Forecast
Carolina by 1 pointcross
ResultAtlanta by 14 points

Houston at Baltimore

ProbabilityBaltimore 80.2% Houston 19.8%
Fair OddsBaltimore $1.25 Houston $5.06
Forecast
Baltimore by 11 pointstick
ResultBaltimore by 16 points

Cincinnati at Cleveland

ProbabilityCleveland 29.1% Cincinnati 70.9%
Fair OddsCleveland $3.43 Cincinnati $1.41
Forecast
Cincinnati by 7 pointscross
ResultCleveland by 21 points

Jacksonville at Indianapolis

ProbabilityIndianapolis 16.4% Jacksonville 83.6%
Fair OddsIndianapolis $6.12 Jacksonville $1.20
Forecast
Jacksonville by 12 pointstick
ResultJacksonville by 10 points

Tampa Bay at Minnesota

ProbabilityMinnesota 68.4% Tampa Bay 31.6%
Fair OddsMinnesota $1.46 Tampa Bay $3.17
Forecast
Minnesota by 6 pointscross
ResultTampa Bay by 3 points

Tennessee at New Orleans

ProbabilityNew Orleans 73.2% Tennessee 26.8%
Fair OddsNew Orleans $1.37 Tennessee $3.74
Forecast
New Orleans by 8 pointstick
ResultNew Orleans by 1 point

San Francisco at Pittsburgh

ProbabilityPittsburgh 41.3% San Francisco 58.7%
Fair OddsPittsburgh $2.42 San Francisco $1.70
Forecast
San Francisco by 3 pointstick
ResultSan Francisco by 23 points

Arizona at Washington

ProbabilityWashington 79.7% Arizona 20.3%
Fair OddsWashington $1.26 Arizona $4.92
Forecast
Washington by 10 pointstick
ResultWashington by 4 points

Green Bay at Chicago

ProbabilityChicago 17.4% Green Bay 82.6%
Fair OddsChicago $5.76 Green Bay $1.21
Forecast
Green Bay by 12 pointstick
ResultGreen Bay by 18 points

Las Vegas at Denver

ProbabilityDenver 49.6% Las Vegas 50.4%
Fair OddsDenver $2.02 Las Vegas $1.98
Forecast
Las Vegas by 1 pointtick
ResultLas Vegas by 1 point

Miami at LA Chargers

ProbabilityLA Chargers 63.3% Miami 36.7%
Fair OddsLA Chargers $1.58 Miami $2.73
Forecast
LA Chargers by 4 pointscross
ResultMiami by 2 points

Philadelphia at New England

ProbabilityNew England 31.6% Philadelphia 68.4%
Fair OddsNew England $3.17 Philadelphia $1.46
Forecast
Philadelphia by 6 pointstick
ResultPhiladelphia by 5 points

LA Rams at Seattle

ProbabilitySeattle 65.2% LA Rams 34.8%
Fair OddsSeattle $1.53 LA Rams $2.87
Forecast
Seattle by 5 pointscross
ResultLA Rams by 17 points

Dallas at NY Giants

ProbabilityNY Giants 33.4% Dallas 66.6%
Fair OddsNY Giants $3.00 Dallas $1.50
Forecast
Dallas by 5 pointstick
ResultDallas by 40 points

Buffalo at NY Jets

ProbabilityNY Jets 35.2% Buffalo 64.8%
Fair OddsNY Jets $2.84 Buffalo $1.54
Forecast
Buffalo by 5 pointscross
ResultNY Jets by 6 points

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