AFL Round Forecast: 2026 Round 11 Tips & Predictions

Progressive Score = 63/90 (70%) | Mean Error = 27.47 | Median Error = 24 Odds

Hawthorn v Adelaide (UT Stad)

ProbabilityHawthorn 53.2% Adelaide 46.8%
Fair OddsHawthorn $1.88 Adelaide $2.14
Forecast
Hawthorn by 3 points

Richmond v Essendon (MCG)

ProbabilityRichmond 36.7% Essendon 63.3%
Fair OddsRichmond $2.73 Essendon $1.58
Forecast
Essendon by 14 points

Fremantle v St Kilda (Optus Stad)

ProbabilityFremantle 65.9% St Kilda 34.1%
Fair OddsFremantle $1.52 St Kilda $2.93
Forecast
Fremantle by 17 points

Nth Melbourne v Gold Coast (Marvel Stad)

ProbabilityNth Melbourne 30.9% Gold Coast 69.1%
Fair OddsNth Melbourne $3.24 Gold Coast $1.45
Forecast
Gold Coast by 21 points

Geelong v Sydney (GMHBA Stad)

ProbabilityGeelong 56.4% Sydney 43.6%
Fair OddsGeelong $1.77 Sydney $2.29
Forecast
Geelong by 7 points

Collingwood v West Coast (MCG)

ProbabilityCollingwood 88.1% West Coast 11.9%
Fair OddsCollingwood $1.14 West Coast $8.40
Forecast
Collingwood by 49 points

Port Adelaide v Carlton (Adelaide Oval)

ProbabilityPort Adelaide 56.4% Carlton 43.6%
Fair OddsPort Adelaide $1.77 Carlton $2.29
Forecast
Port Adelaide by 6 points

GW Sydney v Brisbane (SSGS)

ProbabilityGW Sydney 29.1% Brisbane 70.9%
Fair OddsGW Sydney $3.43 Brisbane $1.41
Forecast
Brisbane by 23 points

Wstn Bulldogs v Melbourne (Marvel Stad)

ProbabilityWstn Bulldogs 46.4% Melbourne 53.6%
Fair OddsWstn Bulldogs $2.15 Melbourne $1.87
Forecast
Melbourne by 4 points

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