NFL Week Forecast: 2026 Week 4 Picks & Predictions

Progressive Score = 36/64 (56%) | Mean Error = 11.38 | Median Error = 9 Odds

Pittsburgh at Cleveland

ProbabilityCleveland 57.1% Pittsburgh 42.9%
Fair OddsCleveland $1.75 Pittsburgh $2.33
Forecast
Cleveland by 3 pointstick
ResultCleveland by 3 points

Indianapolis at Washington

ProbabilityWashington 46.0% Indianapolis 54.0%
Fair OddsWashington $2.17 Indianapolis $1.85
Forecast
Indianapolis by 1 pointtick
ResultIndianapolis by 17 points

Tennessee at Baltimore

ProbabilityBaltimore 85.5% Tennessee 14.5%
Fair OddsBaltimore $1.17 Tennessee $6.92
Forecast
Baltimore by 15 pointstick
ResultBaltimore by 6 points

New England at Buffalo

ProbabilityBuffalo 62.6% New England 37.4%
Fair OddsBuffalo $1.60 New England $2.67
Forecast
Buffalo by 5 pointscross
ResultNew England by 3 points

NY Jets at Chicago

ProbabilityChicago 88.3% NY Jets 11.7%
Fair OddsChicago $1.13 NY Jets $8.55
Forecast
Chicago by 17 pointstick
ResultChicago by 11 points

Jacksonville at Cincinnati

ProbabilityCincinnati 35.2% Jacksonville 64.8%
Fair OddsCincinnati $2.84 Jacksonville $1.54
Forecast
Jacksonville by 5 pointstick
ResultJacksonville by 5 points

Dallas at Houston

ProbabilityHouston 69.5% Dallas 30.5%
Fair OddsHouston $1.44 Dallas $3.28
Forecast
Houston by 7 pointscross
ResultDallas by 4 points

Arizona at NY Giants

ProbabilityNY Giants 62.6% Arizona 37.4%
Fair OddsNY Giants $1.60 Arizona $2.67
Forecast
NY Giants by 5 pointstick
ResultNY Giants by 12 points

LA Rams at Philadelphia

ProbabilityPhiladelphia 40.9% LA Rams 59.1%
Fair OddsPhiladelphia $2.44 LA Rams $1.69
Forecast
LA Rams by 3 pointstick
ResultLA Rams by 4 points

Green Bay at Tampa Bay

ProbabilityTampa Bay 63.3% Green Bay 36.7%
Fair OddsTampa Bay $1.58 Green Bay $2.73
Forecast
Tampa Bay by 5 pointscross
ResultGreen Bay by 3 points

Miami at Minnesota

ProbabilityMinnesota 90.5% Miami 9.5%
Fair OddsMinnesota $1.11 Miami $10.52
Forecast
Minnesota by 19 pointstick
ResultMinnesota by 5 points

Kansas City at Las Vegas

ProbabilityLas Vegas 50.8% Kansas City 49.2%
Fair OddsLas Vegas $1.97 Kansas City $2.03
Forecast
Las Vegas by 1 pointcross
ResultKansas City by 3 points

LA Chargers at Seattle

ProbabilitySeattle 92.1% LA Chargers 7.9%
Fair OddsSeattle $1.09 LA Chargers $12.62
Forecast
Seattle by 20 pointstick
ResultSeattle by 7 points

Denver at San Francisco

ProbabilitySan Francisco 68.4% Denver 31.6%
Fair OddsSan Francisco $1.46 Denver $3.17
Forecast
San Francisco by 7 pointstick
ResultSan Francisco by 10 points

Detroit at Carolina

ProbabilityCarolina 59.5% Detroit 40.5%
Fair OddsCarolina $1.68 Detroit $2.47
Forecast
Carolina by 3 pointstick
ResultCarolina by 6 points

Atlanta at New Orleans

ProbabilityNew Orleans 66.6% Atlanta 33.4%
Fair OddsNew Orleans $1.50 Atlanta $3.00
Forecast
New Orleans by 6 pointscross
ResultAtlanta by 21 points

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