NFL Week Forecast: 2026 Week 5 Picks & Predictions

Progressive Score = 45/79 (56%) | Mean Error = 11.42 | Median Error = 9 Odds

Tampa Bay at Dallas

ProbabilityDallas 74.9% Tampa Bay 25.1%
Fair OddsDallas $1.34 Tampa Bay $3.98
Forecast
Dallas by 9 pointscross
ResultTampa Bay by 8 points

Philadelphia at Jacksonville

ProbabilityJacksonville 81.6% Philadelphia 18.4%
Fair OddsJacksonville $1.23 Philadelphia $5.43
Forecast
Jacksonville by 12 pointstick
ResultJacksonville by 2 points

Cincinnati at Miami

ProbabilityMiami 36.3% Cincinnati 63.7%
Fair OddsMiami $2.75 Cincinnati $1.57
Forecast
Cincinnati by 5 pointstick
ResultCincinnati by 7 points

Las Vegas at New England

ProbabilityNew England 81.9% Las Vegas 18.1%
Fair OddsNew England $1.22 Las Vegas $5.51
Forecast
New England by 13 pointstick
ResultNew England by 28 points

Minnesota at New Orleans

ProbabilityNew Orleans 39.7% Minnesota 60.3%
Fair OddsNew Orleans $2.52 Minnesota $1.66
Forecast
Minnesota by 4 pointstick
ResultMinnesota by 10 points

Cleveland at NY Jets

ProbabilityNY Jets 50.0% Cleveland 50.0%
Fair OddsNY Jets $2.00 Cleveland $2.00
Forecast
Cleveland by 1 pointcross
ResultNY Jets by 5 points

Indianapolis at Pittsburgh

ProbabilityPittsburgh 54.8% Indianapolis 45.2%
Fair OddsPittsburgh $1.83 Indianapolis $2.21
Forecast
Pittsburgh by 2 pointstick
ResultPittsburgh by 12 points

Houston at Tennessee

ProbabilityTennessee 41.3% Houston 58.7%
Fair OddsTennessee $2.42 Houston $1.70
Forecast
Houston by 3 pointstick
ResultHouston by 23 points

NY Giants at Washington

ProbabilityWashington 54.4% NY Giants 45.6%
Fair OddsWashington $1.84 NY Giants $2.19
Forecast
Washington by 2 pointstick
ResultDraw

Denver at LA Chargers

ProbabilityLA Chargers 48.4% Denver 51.6%
Fair OddsLA Chargers $2.07 Denver $1.94
Forecast
Denver by 1 pointtick
ResultDenver by 6 points

Detroit at Arizona

ProbabilityArizona 47.6% Detroit 52.4%
Fair OddsArizona $2.10 Detroit $1.91
Forecast
Detroit by 1 pointtick
ResultDetroit by 24 points

Chicago at Green Bay

ProbabilityGreen Bay 36.7% Chicago 63.3%
Fair OddsGreen Bay $2.73 Chicago $1.58
Forecast
Chicago by 5 pointscross
ResultGreen Bay by 24 points

San Francisco at Seattle

ProbabilitySeattle 72.6% San Francisco 27.4%
Fair OddsSeattle $1.38 San Francisco $3.65
Forecast
Seattle by 8 pointscross
ResultSan Francisco by 3 points

Baltimore at Atlanta

ProbabilityAtlanta 59.9% Baltimore 40.1%
Fair OddsAtlanta $1.67 Baltimore $2.49
Forecast
Atlanta by 3 pointscross
ResultBaltimore by 7 points

Buffalo at LA Rams

ProbabilityLA Rams 64.1% Buffalo 35.9%
Fair OddsLA Rams $1.56 Buffalo $2.78
Forecast
LA Rams by 5 pointscross
ResultBuffalo by 3 points

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