AFL Round Forecast: 2023 Round 5 Tips & Predictions

Progressive Score = 29/45 (64%) | Mean Error = 28.56 | Median Error = 28 Odds

Adelaide v Carlton (Adelaide Oval)

ProbabilityAdelaide 53.6% Carlton 46.4%
Fair OddsAdelaide $1.87 Carlton $2.15
Forecast
Adelaide by 3 pointstick
ResultAdelaide by 56 points

Fremantle v Gold Coast (Norwood Oval)

ProbabilityFremantle 52.4% Gold Coast 47.6%
Fair OddsFremantle $1.91 Gold Coast $2.10
Forecast
Fremantle by 2 pointstick
ResultFremantle by 10 points

Richmond v Sydney (Adelaide Oval)

ProbabilityRichmond 48.8% Sydney 51.2%
Fair OddsRichmond $2.05 Sydney $1.95
Forecast
Sydney by 1 pointtick
ResultSydney by 44 points

Brisbane v Nth Melbourne (Adelaide Hills)

ProbabilityBrisbane 81.6% Nth Melbourne 18.4%
Fair OddsBrisbane $1.23 Nth Melbourne $5.43
Forecast
Brisbane by 35 pointstick
ResultBrisbane by 75 points

Essendon v Melbourne (Adelaide Oval)

ProbabilityEssendon 21.8% Melbourne 78.2%
Fair OddsEssendon $4.59 Melbourne $1.28
Forecast
Melbourne by 30 pointscross
ResultEssendon by 27 points

Port Adelaide v Wstn Bulldogs (Adelaide Oval)

ProbabilityPort Adelaide 73.9% Wstn Bulldogs 26.1%
Fair OddsPort Adelaide $1.35 Wstn Bulldogs $3.83
Forecast
Port Adelaide by 25 pointstick
ResultPort Adelaide by 14 points

Geelong v West Coast (Adelaide Oval)

ProbabilityGeelong 91.9% West Coast 8.1%
Fair OddsGeelong $1.09 West Coast $12.38
Forecast
Geelong by 54 pointstick
ResultGeelong by 47 points

GW Sydney v Hawthorn (Norwood Oval)

ProbabilityGW Sydney 64.4% Hawthorn 35.6%
Fair OddsGW Sydney $1.55 Hawthorn $2.81
Forecast
GW Sydney by 14 pointstick
ResultGW Sydney by 2 points

Collingwood v St Kilda (Adelaide Oval)

ProbabilityCollingwood 58.7% St Kilda 41.3%
Fair OddsCollingwood $1.70 St Kilda $2.42
Forecast
Collingwood by 8 pointstick
ResultCollingwood by 6 points

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