AFL Round Forecast: 2023 Round 4 Tips & Predictions

Progressive Score = 21/36 (58%) | Mean Error = 29.22 | Median Error = 28 Odds

Brisbane v Collingwood (Gabba)

ProbabilityBrisbane 43.2% Collingwood 56.8%
Fair OddsBrisbane $2.31 Collingwood $1.76
Forecast
Collingwood by 7 pointscross
ResultBrisbane by 33 points

Nth Melbourne v Carlton (Marvel Stad)

ProbabilityNth Melbourne 14.9% Carlton 85.1%
Fair OddsNth Melbourne $6.70 Carlton $1.18
Forecast
Carlton by 40 pointstick
ResultCarlton by 23 points

Adelaide v Fremantle (Adelaide Oval)

ProbabilityAdelaide 61.0% Fremantle 39.0%
Fair OddsAdelaide $1.64 Fremantle $2.57
Forecast
Adelaide by 11 pointstick
ResultAdelaide by 39 points

Richmond v Wstn Bulldogs (MCG)

ProbabilityRichmond 71.9% Wstn Bulldogs 28.1%
Fair OddsRichmond $1.39 Wstn Bulldogs $3.56
Forecast
Richmond by 22 pointscross
ResultWstn Bulldogs by 5 points

St Kilda v Gold Coast (Marvel Stad)

ProbabilitySt Kilda 76.1% Gold Coast 23.9%
Fair OddsSt Kilda $1.31 Gold Coast $4.19
Forecast
St Kilda by 27 pointstick
ResultSt Kilda by 53 points

Sydney v Port Adelaide (SCG)

ProbabilitySydney 77.3% Port Adelaide 22.7%
Fair OddsSydney $1.29 Port Adelaide $4.41
Forecast
Sydney by 29 pointscross
ResultPort Adelaide by 2 points

Essendon v GW Sydney (Marvel Stad)

ProbabilityEssendon 69.8% GW Sydney 30.2%
Fair OddsEssendon $1.43 GW Sydney $3.32
Forecast
Essendon by 20 pointstick
ResultEssendon by 13 points

West Coast v Melbourne (Optus Stad)

ProbabilityWest Coast 20.9% Melbourne 79.1%
Fair OddsWest Coast $4.79 Melbourne $1.26
Forecast
Melbourne by 31 pointstick
ResultMelbourne by 63 points

Geelong v Hawthorn (MCG)

ProbabilityGeelong 85.3% Hawthorn 14.7%
Fair OddsGeelong $1.17 Hawthorn $6.81
Forecast
Geelong by 40 pointstick
ResultGeelong by 82 points

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