AFL Round Forecast: 2026 Round 21 Tips & Predictions

Progressive Score = 125/180 (69%) | Mean Error = 26.19 | Median Error = 20 Odds

Carlton v Brisbane (Marvel Stad)

ProbabilityCarlton 26.1% Brisbane 73.9%
Fair OddsCarlton $3.83 Brisbane $1.35
Forecast
Brisbane by 26 pointscross
ResultCarlton by 76 points

Collingwood v Geelong (MCG)

ProbabilityCollingwood 36.3% Geelong 63.7%
Fair OddsCollingwood $2.75 Geelong $1.57
Forecast
Geelong by 14 pointstick
ResultGeelong by 25 points

Essendon v Adelaide (Marvel Stad)

ProbabilityEssendon 11.5% Adelaide 88.5%
Fair OddsEssendon $8.69 Adelaide $1.13
Forecast
Adelaide by 49 pointstick
ResultAdelaide by 72 points

Fremantle v Wstn Bulldogs (Optus Stad)

ProbabilityFremantle 78.2% Wstn Bulldogs 21.8%
Fair OddsFremantle $1.28 Wstn Bulldogs $4.59
Forecast
Fremantle by 32 pointstick
ResultFremantle by 37 points

Gold Coast v Melbourne (PF Stad)

ProbabilityGold Coast 37.4% Melbourne 62.6%
Fair OddsGold Coast $2.67 Melbourne $1.60
Forecast
Melbourne by 13 pointstick
ResultMelbourne by 9 points

Hawthorn v Nth Melbourne (UT Stad)

ProbabilityHawthorn 84.9% Nth Melbourne 15.1%
Fair OddsHawthorn $1.18 Nth Melbourne $6.60
Forecast
Hawthorn by 42 pointstick
ResultHawthorn by 16 points

Port Adelaide v GW Sydney (Adelaide Oval)

ProbabilityPort Adelaide 44.8% GW Sydney 55.2%
Fair OddsPort Adelaide $2.23 GW Sydney $1.81
Forecast
GW Sydney by 5 pointstick
ResultGW Sydney by 12 points

Richmond v West Coast (MCG)

ProbabilityRichmond 40.5% West Coast 59.5%
Fair OddsRichmond $2.47 West Coast $1.68
Forecast
West Coast by 10 pointscross
ResultRichmond by 11 points

St Kilda v Sydney (Marvel Stad)

ProbabilitySt Kilda 39.0% Sydney 61.0%
Fair OddsSt Kilda $2.57 Sydney $1.64
Forecast
Sydney by 12 pointstick
ResultSydney by 19 points

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