AFL Round Forecast: 2026 Round 22 Tips & Predictions

Progressive Score = 130/189 (68%) | Mean Error = 26.68 | Median Error = 21 Odds

Adelaide v Richmond (Adelaide Oval)

ProbabilityAdelaide 91.8% Richmond 8.2%
Fair OddsAdelaide $1.09 Richmond $12.16
Forecast
Adelaide by 57 pointstick
ResultAdelaide by 9 points

Brisbane v Hawthorn (Gabba)

ProbabilityBrisbane 44.0% Hawthorn 56.0%
Fair OddsBrisbane $2.27 Hawthorn $1.79
Forecast
Hawthorn by 6 pointscross
ResultBrisbane by 67 points

Geelong v Essendon (GMHBA Stad)

ProbabilityGeelong 94.4% Essendon 5.6%
Fair OddsGeelong $1.06 Essendon $17.89
Forecast
Geelong by 65 pointstick
ResultGeelong by 67 points

GW Sydney v Gold Coast (Manuka Oval)

ProbabilityGW Sydney 60.6% Gold Coast 39.4%
Fair OddsGW Sydney $1.65 Gold Coast $2.54
Forecast
GW Sydney by 11 pointscross
ResultGold Coast by 2 points

Melbourne v Fremantle (MCG)

ProbabilityMelbourne 29.1% Fremantle 70.9%
Fair OddsMelbourne $3.43 Fremantle $1.41
Forecast
Fremantle by 23 pointscross
ResultMelbourne by 4 points

St Kilda v Carlton (Marvel Stad)

ProbabilitySt Kilda 48.4% Carlton 51.6%
Fair OddsSt Kilda $2.07 Carlton $1.94
Forecast
Carlton by 2 pointstick
ResultCarlton by 44 points

Sydney v Port Adelaide (SCG)

ProbabilitySydney 76.4% Port Adelaide 23.6%
Fair OddsSydney $1.31 Port Adelaide $4.24
Forecast
Sydney by 30 pointstick
ResultSydney by 97 points

West Coast v Collingwood (Optus Stad)

ProbabilityWest Coast 20.3% Collingwood 79.7%
Fair OddsWest Coast $4.92 Collingwood $1.26
Forecast
Collingwood by 34 pointstick
ResultCollingwood by 19 points

Wstn Bulldogs v Nth Melbourne (Marvel Stad)

ProbabilityWstn Bulldogs 66.3% Nth Melbourne 33.7%
Fair OddsWstn Bulldogs $1.51 Nth Melbourne $2.97
Forecast
Wstn Bulldogs by 17 pointscross
ResultNth Melbourne by 23 points

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