AFL Round Forecast: 2026 Round 23 Tips & Predictions

Progressive Score = 139/198 (70%) | Mean Error = 26.38 | Median Error = 20 Odds

Brisbane v Gold Coast (Gabba)

ProbabilityBrisbane 74.5% Gold Coast 25.5%
Fair OddsBrisbane $1.34 Gold Coast $3.93
Forecast
Brisbane by 27 pointstick
ResultBrisbane by 42 points

Essendon v Sydney (MCG)

ProbabilityEssendon 5.8% Sydney 94.2%
Fair OddsEssendon $17.18 Sydney $1.06
Forecast
Sydney by 65 pointstick
ResultSydney by 36 points

Fremantle v Adelaide (Optus Stad)

ProbabilityFremantle 69.5% Adelaide 30.5%
Fair OddsFremantle $1.44 Adelaide $3.28
Forecast
Fremantle by 21 pointstick
ResultFremantle by 24 points

GW Sydney v West Coast (SSGS)

ProbabilityGW Sydney 77.9% West Coast 22.1%
Fair OddsGW Sydney $1.28 West Coast $4.53
Forecast
GW Sydney by 32 pointstick
ResultGW Sydney by 54 points

Hawthorn v Collingwood (MCG)

ProbabilityHawthorn 56.8% Collingwood 43.2%
Fair OddsHawthorn $1.76 Collingwood $2.31
Forecast
Hawthorn by 7 pointstick
ResultDraw

Nth Melbourne v Geelong (Marvel Stad)

ProbabilityNth Melbourne 19.5% Geelong 80.5%
Fair OddsNth Melbourne $5.13 Geelong $1.24
Forecast
Geelong by 35 pointstick
ResultGeelong by 15 points

Port Adelaide v Melbourne (Adelaide Oval)

ProbabilityPort Adelaide 30.5% Melbourne 69.5%
Fair OddsPort Adelaide $3.28 Melbourne $1.44
Forecast
Melbourne by 21 pointstick
ResultMelbourne by 76 points

Richmond v St Kilda (MCG)

ProbabilityRichmond 22.7% St Kilda 77.3%
Fair OddsRichmond $4.41 St Kilda $1.29
Forecast
St Kilda by 31 pointstick
ResultSt Kilda by 49 points

Wstn Bulldogs v Carlton (Marvel Stad)

ProbabilityWstn Bulldogs 38.6% Carlton 61.4%
Fair OddsWstn Bulldogs $2.59 Carlton $1.63
Forecast
Carlton by 12 pointstick
ResultDraw

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