AFL Round Forecast: 2026 Round 3 Tips & Predictions

Progressive Score = 20/28 (71%) | Mean Error = 25.86 | Median Error = 28 Odds

Geelong v Adelaide (GMHBA Stad)

ProbabilityGeelong 62.9% Adelaide 37.1%
Fair OddsGeelong $1.59 Adelaide $2.70
Forecast
Geelong by 14 pointstick
ResultGeelong by 8 points

Collingwood v GW Sydney (Marvel Stad)

ProbabilityCollingwood 66.3% GW Sydney 33.7%
Fair OddsCollingwood $1.51 GW Sydney $2.97
Forecast
Collingwood by 18 pointstick
ResultCollingwood by 33 points

St Kilda v Brisbane (Marvel Stad)

ProbabilitySt Kilda 49.2% Brisbane 50.8%
Fair OddsSt Kilda $2.03 Brisbane $1.97
Forecast
Brisbane by 1 pointtick
ResultBrisbane by 33 points

Fremantle v Richmond (Optus Stad)

ProbabilityFremantle 86.7% Richmond 13.3%
Fair OddsFremantle $1.15 Richmond $7.49
Forecast
Fremantle by 47 pointstick
ResultFremantle by 60 points

Essendon v Nth Melbourne (Marvel Stad)

ProbabilityEssendon 34.1% Nth Melbourne 65.9%
Fair OddsEssendon $2.93 Nth Melbourne $1.52
Forecast
Nth Melbourne by 17 pointstick
ResultNth Melbourne by 12 points

Port Adelaide v West Coast (Adelaide Oval)

ProbabilityPort Adelaide 75.2% West Coast 24.8%
Fair OddsPort Adelaide $1.33 West Coast $4.03
Forecast
Port Adelaide by 28 pointscross
ResultWest Coast by 2 points

Carlton v Melbourne (MCG)

ProbabilityCarlton 42.9% Melbourne 57.1%
Fair OddsCarlton $2.33 Melbourne $1.75
Forecast
Melbourne by 8 pointstick
ResultMelbourne by 23 points

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