AFL Round Forecast: 2026 Round 4 Tips & Predictions

Progressive Score = 24/36 (66%) | Mean Error = 27.44 | Median Error = 26 Odds

Brisbane v Collingwood (Gabba)

ProbabilityBrisbane 74.5% Collingwood 25.5%
Fair OddsBrisbane $1.34 Collingwood $3.93
Forecast
Brisbane by 28 pointstick
ResultBrisbane by 54 points

Nth Melbourne v Carlton (Marvel Stad)

ProbabilityNth Melbourne 49.6% Carlton 50.4%
Fair OddsNth Melbourne $2.02 Carlton $1.98
Forecast
Carlton by 1 pointcross
ResultNth Melbourne by 10 points

Adelaide v Fremantle (Adelaide Oval)

ProbabilityAdelaide 64.1% Fremantle 35.9%
Fair OddsAdelaide $1.56 Fremantle $2.78
Forecast
Adelaide by 15 pointscross
ResultFremantle by 2 points

Richmond v Port Adelaide (MCG)

ProbabilityRichmond 54.4% Port Adelaide 45.6%
Fair OddsRichmond $1.84 Port Adelaide $2.19
Forecast
Richmond by 5 pointscross
ResultPort Adelaide by 42 points

West Coast v Sydney (Optus Stad)

ProbabilityWest Coast 34.5% Sydney 65.5%
Fair OddsWest Coast $2.90 Sydney $1.53
Forecast
Sydney by 17 pointstick
ResultSydney by 128 points

Melbourne v Gold Coast (MCG)

ProbabilityMelbourne 46.4% Gold Coast 53.6%
Fair OddsMelbourne $2.15 Gold Coast $1.87
Forecast
Gold Coast by 4 pointscross
ResultMelbourne by 20 points

Wstn Bulldogs v Essendon (Marvel Stad)

ProbabilityWstn Bulldogs 90.0% Essendon 10.0%
Fair OddsWstn Bulldogs $1.11 Essendon $9.97
Forecast
Wstn Bulldogs by 53 pointstick
ResultWstn Bulldogs by 34 points

Hawthorn v Geelong (MCG)

ProbabilityHawthorn 59.5% Geelong 40.5%
Fair OddsHawthorn $1.68 Geelong $2.47
Forecast
Hawthorn by 10 pointstick
ResultHawthorn by 1 point

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