AFL Round Forecast: 2025 Round 4 Tips & Predictions

Progressive Score = 27/35 (77%) | Mean Error = 29.43 | Median Error = 22 Odds

Collingwood v Carlton (MCG)

ProbabilityCollingwood 59.9% Carlton 40.1%
Fair OddsCollingwood $1.67 Carlton $2.49
Forecast
Collingwood by 10 pointstick
ResultCollingwood by 17 points

Geelong v Melbourne (GMHBA Stad)

ProbabilityGeelong 77.3% Melbourne 22.7%
Fair OddsGeelong $1.29 Melbourne $4.41
Forecast
Geelong by 30 pointstick
ResultGeelong by 39 points

Gold Coast v Adelaide (PF Stad)

ProbabilityGold Coast 51.6% Adelaide 48.4%
Fair OddsGold Coast $1.94 Adelaide $2.07
Forecast
Gold Coast by 1 pointtick
ResultGold Coast by 1 point

Richmond v Brisbane (MCG)

ProbabilityRichmond 19.5% Brisbane 80.5%
Fair OddsRichmond $5.13 Brisbane $1.24
Forecast
Brisbane by 35 pointstick
ResultBrisbane by 28 points

Nth Melbourne v Sydney (Marvel Stad)

ProbabilityNth Melbourne 40.5% Sydney 59.5%
Fair OddsNth Melbourne $2.47 Sydney $1.68
Forecast
Sydney by 10 pointstick
ResultSydney by 65 points

GW Sydney v West Coast (SSGS)

ProbabilityGW Sydney 87.1% West Coast 12.9%
Fair OddsGW Sydney $1.15 West Coast $7.74
Forecast
GW Sydney by 46 pointstick
ResultGW Sydney by 81 points

Port Adelaide v St Kilda (Adelaide Oval)

ProbabilityPort Adelaide 50.4% St Kilda 49.6%
Fair OddsPort Adelaide $1.98 St Kilda $2.02
Forecast
Port Adelaide by 1 pointcross
ResultSt Kilda by 17 points

Fremantle v Wstn Bulldogs (Optus Stad)

ProbabilityFremantle 45.6% Wstn Bulldogs 54.4%
Fair OddsFremantle $2.19 Wstn Bulldogs $1.84
Forecast
Wstn Bulldogs by 5 pointscross
ResultFremantle by 16 points

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